Which U.S. rental markets actually cash-flow in 2026?

Short answer at 6.80% financing, 4 of the 18 tracked metros clear the 1.2 lender DSCR line, led by Cleveland. The cheaper Midwest and Southern markets cash-flow, the pricier metros do not. The Investor Yield Index fuses cap rate, gross yield, DSCR, and cash-on-cash into one weekly score so you can rank markets, then run the DSCR loan and cap rate calculators on your exact deal.

30-yr mortgage: 6.80% DSCR loan: 7.75% Hard money: 11.50% Updated Jun 19, 2026, 11:13 PM Live

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Investor Yield Index, top markets this week

Scored 0 to 100 at a prevailing 6.80% financing rate, with 25% down and a 40% expense load. Under these assumptions 4 of 18 tracked metros clear the 1.2 lender DSCR line and 6 run a positive cash-on-cash return, while the pricier metros stay negative. The leader sits near 1.22 DSCR today. On a borderline market, a larger down payment or a rate buydown is what tips it positive. See the full ranking →

#MetroMedian priceRent/moCap rateDSCRIndexGrade
1 Cleveland, OH
Greater Cleveland
$146,863 $1,461 7.16% 1.22 100 A
2 Memphis, TN
Memphis metro
$124,349 $1,441 8.34% 1.42 100 A
3 Birmingham, AL
Birmingham-Hoover
$122,274 $1,448 8.53% 1.45 100 A
4 Chicago, IL
Chicagoland
$226,376 $2,266 7.21% 1.23 100 A
5 Tampa, FL
Tampa-St. Petersburg
$236,141 $2,018 6.15% 1.05 89 A
6 Indianapolis, IN
Indianapolis-Carmel
$186,505 $1,553 6.00% 1.02 85 A

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How DSCR qualification works

1 · Net operating income

Start with gross annual rent, then subtract operating expenses (taxes, insurance, management, maintenance, vacancy), not the mortgage.

2 · Annual debt service

Compute principal + interest for the year on the DSCR loan amount at the lender’s rate and amortization.

3 · DSCR = NOI ÷ debt

Lenders want DSCR ≥ 1.2. At or above that, the rent covers the debt with margin to spare. Below 1.0 the property cannot cover its own payment.

The 2026 reality. At 6.80% financing with a 40% expense load, every one of the 18 tracked metros lands below 1.2 DSCR, so the Index is a relative ranking of cash-flow strength rather than a pass or fail gate. The markets at the top, led by Cleveland near 1.22 DSCR, are the ones where a larger down payment or a rate buydown tips the deal from negative to positive. See the full ranking and the methodology.

Common questions

What is a DSCR loan?

A DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio) loan is a no-income-verification investment mortgage that qualifies on whether the property’s rent covers the debt, not on your personal income. Lenders typically require a DSCR of at least 1.20.

What is the Investor Yield Index?

A weekly, per-metro cash-flow score (0–100) DSCRRadar computes from public home-value, rent, and rate data. It blends cap rate, gross yield, DSCR, and cash-on-cash at a prevailing rate (currently 6.80%) so you can compare markets apples-to-apples.

What DSCR do I need to qualify?

Most DSCR lenders require 1.2 or higher, meaning annual net operating income must cover annual debt service by at least 20%. At today’s rates many markets fall short of that under conservative assumptions, the Index shows which markets come closest, so you know where a larger down payment or buydown can close the gap.

Are the rates and scores live?

Yes, refreshed weekly from public home-value, rent, and mortgage-rate feeds.

See all FAQs →

Guides

DSCR loan requirements

What you actually need to qualify in 2026.

Cash-on-cash vs. cap rate

The key difference investors confuse.

Hard money vs. DSCR loans

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A repeatable five-step framework.